Cari Surfers,

da quest’anno vogliamo fare il calcolo delle performance dettagliate (con expectancy inclusa) anche per il primo semestre, e non solo a fine anno.

Prima di passare ai numeri,  una doverosa introduzione per salvaguardare l’autenticità dei dati che vi andiamo ad elencare:

AUTENTICITA’

Le performance che leggete in questo articolo non sono dimostrabili attraverso un documento terzo in quanto vengono tradate su di un conto privato (quello del nostro Hedge Fund) che per motivi di privacy non può generare report all’esterno. La loro autenticità è comunque ampiamente confermata dal fatto che mai nessuno in quasi 3 anni e mezzo di vita di SurfingThePips.com ha mai fatto un commento negativo su di esse.

Il nostro sito è aperto a qualsiasi commento o critica, non c’è nessun filtro. Settimanalmente inviamo i video che raccontano i nostri trades e le loro performances, ogni giorno, ripeto, ogni giorno, inviamo un articolo che chiamiamo Analisi Giornaliera (Free Daily Analysis sul sito inglese) all’interno del quale, prima di ogni cosa, commentiamo i trades che abbiamo preso il giorno prima e i loro risultati.

Mai nessuno dei nostri abbonati ai Segnali Forex ha mai smentito niente dei nostri resoconti quotidiani. Chi si occupa di internet sa quanto valga la reputazione online, possiamo dire che essa al giorno d’oggi sia diventata tutto. Basta un piccolo errore e si è finiti per sempre. Per questo teniamo tanto alla nostra trasparenza e autenticità.

Un’altra ragione per fidarsi dei nostri dati è che sono…bassi. Mi correggo, sono altissimi ma molto più bassi della media dei risultati che vi promettono la marea di siti-trappola dedicati al Forex.

Parlo di tutti quei siti che vi promettono che raddoppierete i vostri soldi ogni mese. Tutta quella banda di simpatici truffatori che vi garantisce che farete gli stessi soldi che guadagnate col vostro lavoro onesto ogni mese, schiacciando qualche tastino qua e là durante le vostre pause-pranzo. Non ci interessa metterci in concorrenza con questa gente, preferiamo selezionare i nostri abbonati scegliendoli tra coloro che non credono a quei banner dove si vede gente bellissima con denti bianchissimi che esulta manco avesse vinto al Super Enalotto.

Noi vogliamo creare un gruppo di gente seria che sa che, con una disciplina ferrea e un sistema di trading blindato, è possibile guadagnare, in tutta tranquillità, dieci volte quello che si guadagna con un titolo di stato italiano (per esempio). Tutto questo, stando a casa, tradando solo poche ore al giorno e praticamente azzerando la paura di perdere il nostro capitale.

RISULTATI STRATEGIA INTRADAY (EURUSD M30 & H1)

Ecco la solita tabella col dettaglio dei trades fatti, pips fatti, profitto e perdita media.

LEGENDA:

PROFIT: trade finiti in guadagno

BE: trade finiti a break-even, zero guadagno/perdite

LOSS: trade finiti in perdita

Today I want to use a simple metaphor to explain in a clear and intuitive way the reason why it is better not to use indicators in the graphics used to trade the Forex and the reason that has made me understand that nothing is more efficacious than a graphic that in jargon we define “naked”. That is, without all those toys many traders like playing with: rolling averages, CCI, Stochastic, Fibonacci, etc.

Mind you, I do not want to say that the “naked” graphic is a necessary but not sufficient condition for profit in trading, quite the contrary. I know many traders that have excellent results through systems completely different from mine, which transform the display of their metatrader into an IKEA Christmas tree, and if you ask them about the price they don’t even know. Yet they make profit and so they are right too.

I am a relativist, and I respect all those who use strategies different from mine, and in this article I just want to tell you the reason why I find it extremely easier and natural to do trading “ revealing” the price more than “hiding” it.

So, let’s start from a fundamental assumption: Price is a language, a true and real language.

Yes, just like Italian, English or French. It has its grammar rules, syntax and hard- to- remember words.

In order to learn how to do successful trading, you must learn how to speak the language of Price. How? Just as you would with all the other languages.

You must learn the fundamental rules of grammar, you must learn to listen with humility and then, possibly, move to the country where that language is spoken. This means that you need to study the reiterated patterns, the probabilities associated with these patterns and then…observe. Observe with the innocent eye of a child. It’s not just a case that children learn languages ten times easier than adults. Why? Because they are innocent, because they have no expectations, because they are pure.

Once you have learned the fundamental rules and you have moved to the country where that language is spoken – the language of Price- start making conversation. That is, move your first steps with the only instrument you have: trendlines.

Trendlines are the equivalent of words for a language. They are the bricks making up each sentence, each pattern, and each channel. Initially, your words will sound stiff, and you will not pronounce them well. Your trendlines will be traced badly, with the wrong inclinations, connecting the wrong points, but slowly, and if you are constant, they will become more and more refined and, like magic, one day you will discover yourself speaking the language of Price fluently.  

It happens as if you have moved abroad and you understand you have learned a new language when you start dreaming in that language.

 Nobody tells you these things. Why? Because in order to learn a language you need time, passion and will. On the contrary, you don’t need that long to learn how to use gimcrack Google Translate.

Right. In my point of view, indicators are just like an automatic translator: the way to understand something in a foreign language through a poor quality shortcut.

Mind you, indicators can also be good indicators. We can have excellent simultaneous translators, but the result will always be lower than direct comprehension, and mostly delayed. In a world where speed is everything, such as trading, you understand that the faster you are, the more profit you’ll make.

It is something that has to do with the usual universal law: the more you give, the more you gain. The longer you devote to the language of Price, the more benefits you’ll have on your Forex account. The lazier you are, and therefore the more you trust on indicators, the slower you’ll be. Nothing is free in this world; let’s bear this in mind.

I too have lived the inglorious times when I could not sleep at night because I was far too excited, because I believed having found on a Forex forum the magic indicator capable of changing my life and earning without working. Out of experience, I know that there is just a small number of traders overcoming that phase. Let’s call it in this way: the teen years of a trader’s career.

Listen to my advice: if you want to overcome puberty, unveil your graphics, and start reading what’s underneath them. You will discover incredible, disarmingly beautiful things. Shall we exaggerate? Let’s do it! Not only Price is a language for me, but it is also a poetic language! Its repetitions are just like rhymes for me. Under a careful eye nothing happens randomly in a graphic, just like in the Divine Comedy. Dante’s masterpiece can be read in many ways, and can be read by students and intellectuals too. Anyone will be able to enjoy it according to his or her level of education. The more cultivated you are, the more you will discover new and incredible things, and for those who believe in it, even hidden messages.

Do not miss all this, do not be satisfied with a sterile and slow automatic translation: learn the Price of Language and you will never be the same after.

See you all at the next wave,

Davide Franceschini | Chief Trader

Hello Surfers,
Today I want to try and “translate for you”, an interesting post which I read a few days ago on the web, making it more relevant to the Trading theme.

It is an article written by Joel Gascoigne (Founder of Buffer, an application designed for Twitter which is making a splash in the US) and which is entitled “6 things I do to be constantly happy.”
The article once again emphasises the basic concept on which we work here at SurfingThePips.com – happiness makes money and not the other way around.
As you read from the first lines of the article, the author seems to be in complete agreement with us: One of the most important things I’ve learned (…) is that I perform the best when I’m happy. It really does change everything. If I’m happy then I’m more productive when hacking code, I’m better at answering support, and I find it easier to stay focused.
Let us now look at these 6 things in detail:
1) Wake up early.
And here the topic becomes interesting. Surely there are people who claim to be more productive at night, because of the silence and, as a dear gentleman I met at a monastery in Borgogna was saying “In the night, I always go out for a walk in order to think because at that time there are less people around who think, the air is devoid of negative waves”.
This is true. It is also true, however, that the night, as my wise friend was saying, is perfect for activities nearer to the world of poetry, reflection, dreams (even daydreams). It has been proved that primordial populations, accustomed to waking up at sunrise and going to bed at sunset, once in contact with the West and the electric light began to suffer from the typical ills of our society – anxiety, depression, stress, etc…
Living in sync with the sun will always bring benefits to human beings. Except for certain artists, I agree with our blogger, waking up early helps us to be happy, undoubtedly.
But how do we reconcile this advice with our favourite activity, trading in Forex?
Well, this depends chiefly on where we are geographically spread around the globe. In my opinion the most fortunate ones are the Europeans and the Asians. Why? Because, as some of you already know, my favourite session for trading is the London session, which starts around 8:00 a.m. GMT. In Europe, if we wake up at dawn, we will have plenty of time to prepare for operations, if we are in Asia we could even have another normal work activity during the day and devote ourselves to trading in the late afternoon.

If instead we are in the United States it is rather complicated. I always recommend to strictly avoid ruining your sleep by waking up at night in order to trade the London session and to become experts of the one in NY instead, which is much more difficult but equally profitable if you learn to manage it.

2) Do physical exercise
Even here I totally agree. I personally practice a series of physical exercises which I distribute throughout the day. In the morning just before breakfast, in mid-morning and mid-afternoon. I’m not a fan of very strenuous sport. I like the middle way. I do not like effort, ever. As compared to running I prefer something that looks more like a brisk walk or swimming. I prefer yoga to bodybuilding, Tai Chi to karate.

Over the years I have built a roadmap as per which if I have to do very intense activity I do it in the morning before trading, and for every two hours spent before the computer screen I have to dedicate at least 15 minutes to quick exercises of Kundalini Yoga (a perfect discipline to unload stress) and in the evening when I stop work I spend time doing stretching exercises and Pranayama yoga which is more oriented towards breathing.

There are no words to describe the improvement in mental well-being that you will be able to achieve through regular physical exercise. All done without exaggeration. Even this should not become an addiction, do what it takes, what is strictly necessary without substituting sport for our life. We are traders, let’s not forget that.

3) Knowing how to disconnect
Well, regarding this point, we could write a lot about our Forex System. In fact we are almost always “disconnected” because we look at the market once every half hour. Furthermore, our operations have specific times. We trade only during the Prime Time of the Forex market, when the major trading is concentrated, that is, from 9 am (C.E.T) to 16:30. Then … goodbye monitor.

We let our trade for the next 4 hours be handled automatically by our Autosurf EA and until the next day I do not want to hear about trading. If you want to ruin your life continue being stuck to the monitor, you will lose precious years and your health. If you want to sleep badly go to bed immediately after switching off Metatrader.

If you want to have a horrible family life, leave your PC on with the Forex while your wife or your children return home. Please, do not forget to separate well the moments of your day. When we are OFF, we are OFF, there is no set-up that can keep us, at a certain time, we stop trading. This is also because outside Prime Time the Forex and even other markets move very little, and remember, you can make a lot of money when the market goes up, and when it goes down, but not when it is standing still.

4) Help others
Once again I couldn’t agree more with our blogger friend. I am a concrete example of how helping others brings much happiness. And we know very well what brings much happiness. I started sharing my strategy and after a few months I was managing wealth which I never imagined I could handle.

Or rather, to be honest, yes I did imagine it, but I never thought I would manage it so quickly. This happened because I helped others. I taught others what I had learned, I did not follow those who say that if you learn something you have to keep it a secret, instead, I followed those who teach that the more you give the more you receive, or, in other words, what you do not give you will never receive.

5) Learn new things
Even here there would be a lot to write. Here I would like to make a brief note. As you know the Secret Patterns are an important part of our strategy. I discovered these patterns by reading the price like a book. Going back in time, letting myself be hypnotized by the curves in the Metatrader chart, by the sudden changes in direction, abandoning myself completely, without judgment, making sure that it was my intuition to guide me.

I did this every weekend and I still do it today. You never stop learning. He who stops is lost. There are no patterns that work forever. They work for months, sometimes for years, but later they stop making money. Only those who study the market, and are eager to learn, win in the long term. So yes, always put aside a part of the week, however small, to do what I call our “Research & Development.”

6) Try to have more “success options”
What do “success options” mean? It means that even if at the end of the day your account is negative, and you have lost a few pips, you may have done good to your body, you are leaner and more agile. Or maybe you realize that now in the evening you have become a better person, your wife or your children look at you with less resentful eyes. Or maybe someone who you once taught a trick, invited you to a fantastic weekend at his villa by the sea, completely free of cost. There is everything to gain, even when you lose.
This is the secret, if you understand it.

Davide Franceschini | Chief Trader

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