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01 July 2013 | Free Daily Analysis | EURUSD : MIXED NEW YEAR START

Happy New Year Surfers.

Yesterday’s Report

EUR/USD was on a roller coaster ride on Friday as Price Action (PA) bounced firstly off Daily Pivot (DP) and then off DR-1 but fell short of our 1.3115 Daily Critical Zone (DCZ) before plummeting over 100 pips to close the week just below the prodigious 1.3030 DCZ. This is a very familiar end of week for a cross that simply cannot find/sustain a trend.

Technical Analysis

This time last week, EUR/USD had retraced 50% of the 6 week long rally off a particularly strong confluence of Support…… http://clip2net.com/s/5jpgNM . If EUR/USD can’t find support at 1.3030, it’s hard to believe the confluence of our 1.2909 DCZ and 1 yr old Support Trendline won’t be a minimum target this week….. http://clip2net.com/s/5jplzt . First day of the Month means Pivot changes and this month’s is quite relevant. Weekly has settled right on top of Daily but below Monthly, creating a perfect Bearish formation.

The Day Ahead

I’m unbiased but can certainly see the Pivot formation and target below. A decent double bottom #1 and the past Support of 1.3030 tells me there’s uncertainty in the air. The continuation flag #2 that’s forming sees me slightly favouring the Bears but I’d like to see some Price Action before entering.

High Impact News

4:00pm USD ISM Manufacturing PMI

Have a great first week of the New Financial Year.

Geoff Pyne  

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